Tuesday’s Blueprint Polling survey, shows Mastriano has a double-digit deficit with likely voters in his race against Attorney General Josh Shapiro. Mastriano, a state senator, received 39.4 percent of respondents, while 50.7 percent chose Shapiro.
During the Republican primary, Shapiro ran pro-Mastriano ads to boost his chances of being nominated and suggested that Mastriano was his top choice in the general election against former Rep. Lou Barletta (R-PA) and the other candidates. Mastriano was able to secure Donald Trump’s coveted endorsement and more than double the votes total of Barletta, his nearest rival.
A Cygnal survey from the end of June revealed a different race, showing Mastriano only three points ahead of his rival, with 45.3 and 48.2 percent, respectively.
Oz is performing slightly higher than Mastriano on the BlueprintPolling survey, but still has a nine-point deficit to Lt. Gov. John Fetterman. Of those who participated, 39.6 percent said they would support Oz, while 48.9 percent chose Fetterman. Similar to Mastriano, the popular doctor also won Trump's support, but the primary was much more tense with his rival, David McCormick, conceding shortly before the end of a recount attempt. The Cygnal survey of last month indicated a closer battle among Oz and Fetterman, with the Republican candidate being at 43.8 percent and Fetterman at 48.2 percent.
The latest polling data does not appear to be favorable for Oz, however. The Decision Desk forecast ranks the Pennsylvania Senate election as one of the most competitive in the US and gives the Oz a 46.2 percent chance of winning Senator. Pat Toomey's (R-PA) seat. The next closest Senate race is in Nevada where the Republican candidate the former attorney general Adam Laxalt, seeks to take over from Senator Catherine Cortez Masto (D-NV).
The poll was conducted between July 19-21. The sample included 712 respondents via landlines and mobile phones and had a margin of error of roughly 3.67 percent.
